Bonds and Bond Fund Risk

Bonds and bond funds are the way to go if youInterest rate risk: what happens to the value or
want to earn higher interest rates according toprice of your 6% bond when new issues are
your neighbor who knows everything. Bondpaying 7%, then 8%, then 10% and so on? Your
investing is simple if you invest money in bondbond's price (value) will fall. Who's going to pay
funds because they do the investmentyou $1000 for this investment that only pays $60
management for you, he points out. Since interesta year in interest when they can go out and buy
rates are pathetically low at the bank, why nota new issue that pays $70, $80, $100 a year?
take his advice?In the above scenario bond investing is a losing
People invest money in bonds and bond funds toproposition. If you own bonds when interest rates
earn a higher income in the form of interest orare moving up significantly your interest earned
dividends (bond funds). That's the advantage ofwill pale compared to the loss of value your
bond investing. On the other hand, yourinvestment suffers. If this trend continues for
not-real-savvy neighbor neglected to tell you theseveral years, your brokerage or mutual fund
other half of the story. Bond investing alwaysstatements will show losses for several years.
involves risks. Even the safest bond investment inIF you had invested in an individual bond issue in
the world, U.S. Treasury bonds, is subject tothe above scenario (like our 6% example) you
interest rate risk.could always look forward to your investment
Interest rates are at or near historical lows, whichmaturing and to getting out with $1000 at
makes it tempting to chase higher interestmaturity. But what if you took your neighbor's
income. A bond investment pays a higher rate ofadvice and you did invest money in a bond fund
interest than you can get at the bank. But here'sthat held a large and diversified portfolio of
the problem, the risk factor most folks know littlesecurities similar to our 6% issue maturing in 10
about: a bond has a fixed coupon rate (interestyears or so? Bond funds don't mature.
rate) that never changes for the life of theWhat would happen to your bond fund
security.investment as interest rates continued upward?
All bonds have a maturity date ... they mature. AtWell, many investors, like your neighbor and his
that time the owner is paid back his or herfriends, would cash in their bond fund shares to
principal, usually $1000. Example: You buy a $1000cut their losses. This means the fund must then
bond with a 6% coupon rate that matures in thesell bonds in their portfolio (likely at a loss) to raise
year 2020. This investment pays you $60 perthe cash to pay them. As this trend continues
year in interest for as long as you own it. In thebond prices continue to fall, along with the value
year 2020 the issuer (a government entity orof bond funds in general.
corporation) pays you back the $1000. It's a doneIf and when interest rates eventually stabilize at
deal, the bond no longer exists.higher levels, there won't be many happy
The interest rate of 6% is fixed. But the price orcampers who took your neighbor's advice. Those
value of your investment is not. Bonds trade justwho cashed in took a loss. Those who held on are
like stocks do. What happens if interest rates gohoping for a miracle.
up across the board? Well, banks will raise theThe bond market will then heal only when savvy
rates they pay their customers. And new bondsinvestors seize the day and bet that interest
will be issued by the government and corporationsrates are done going up. At that point they buy
WITH HIGHER AND HIGHER COUPON RATES asbonds and send prices up. That's how smart
interest rates continue to rise.investors really make money bond investing.