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The Strategy of Leadership is Thinking, Vision, and Planning - The Future Depends On It

Grammar speaks of events occurring in educational opportunities for racially
three plains. The past was, the future distinct schools by racially distinct
will happen, and we live now, the administrators. Opposition to LB1024 was
present. However, operating in the high before its passing, the Governor
information age, the age of instant faced strong opposition for signing it,
global communication, makes the future the Attorney General believes it is in
now. Gates [1] wrote we are citizens of violation of federal law and
an information society. He noted that unconstitutional and Omaha's most famous
past generations, and past societies citizen, Warren Buffet, expressed his
found ways to gather information, get strong opposition.Senator Chambers is the
more work done, increase life spans, and only African-American state senator who
improve their standards of living. Time is controversial and outspoken. Many of
was not as critical in those past ages. A his claims include racially provocative
message from a ruler may take months to statements against police, school
arrive by sea courier. The Pony Express administrators, teachers, and fellow
was six days. Airmail was cross-country senators. By contrast, to Mayor Ryan,
overnight. The time span between thought Senator Chambers does not appear to have
and action are virtually unidentifiable a vision based on strategic thinking.
today. Although leaders rely on Senator Chambers' term in the Unicameral
collective knowledge sharing, leaders who ends in 2008 and he cannot run again
engage in strategic thinking, imagining because of imposed term limits.Morgan
events as happening rather than will [10] offers some thoughts on social
happen, allows them to view the present construction of reality. What he writes
as their personal and organizational is people have images of themselves and
future.This paper considers how important these images unfold into their reality.
strategic thinking is for leaders who Two leaders identified thus far have
want to shape their future and the future diversely different views of reality. One
of their environment. Strategic thinking holds a vision of what can be for the
is the starting point for creating city while the other fights against
vision. Traditional planning gives way to change using deeply entrenched
flexible organizational structures that assumptions of the power of others to
change "on the fly."Strategy in past shape events.Another person, a division
generations allowed leaders time for head of a large First Data Corporation
thinking, sensing a vision, clarifying region [11], offered some insight into
the vision, articulating it to begin strategic thinking and being visionary.
considering action plans. Accepting that In an impromptu interview, she held that
the future is no longer an event to having a focus on what is possible helped
happen later, this paper explores how her rise within a company at a time when
leaders think, envision, articulate, and it was having serious leadership
plan. How do leaders continue to use troubles. When everyone else was seeking
strategy to their advantage in a rapidly safety, she sought innovation-providing
changing global environment? The answer direction when it appeared there was
is in the age of possibilities [2]. none. Her member services region is the
Today, as never before we are free from western United States, Canada, and
traditional bonds of work, we are free to Mexico. She said, "I thrive on chaos.
choose our futures as well as shape them When things look the most confused, I see
to suit our own desires and needs.This my division diversified, flattened, with
age is an extension of Gates' information empowered subordinate managers."Our
society. We have the ability to choose dialogue continued on chaos with Kim
our reality in a way that never before conceding she manages chaos within set
existed. In the past, a baker's son organizational plans and policies. This
became a baker. However, many leaders of lead to her admission that she is more
the past came from unexpected places. The ordered in her expectations and spends
Biblical King David was the young son more time planning than thinking and
tending sheep (1 Samuel 16:11) and Jesus creating vision.Strategic PlanningHill
was just the carpenter's son whose mother and Jones [12] discuss strategic planning
we know (Matthew 13:55) [3]. Truman had with the same cautions of Davis [13]. One
leadership thrust upon him. These people concept of planning is doing so under
saw a point on the horizon but events uncertainties. In life and business, the
changes their vision. The age of only certain is uncertainty.
possibilities allows us to rewrite our Organizations cannot plan for the future
future as events dictate.Accepting that because it is unpredictable. Another
we can change as events dictate suggests consideration is planning cannot be a
that there is a less linear structure in top-management function alone. This
this image and a more chaotic non-linear "ivory tower" planning may result in
structure. Sanders [4] describes an senior leaders thinking in a vacuum,
organizational structure as a known being enthusiastic about a plan and
initial condition but the future appears having no operational realities. Finally,
random. Using the model of the "Lorenz strategic planning often suffers because
Attractor," she presents a view of planners have a short-range view of the
interacting and interrelated parts that current environment missing the dynamics
appear disorderly until a closer of the competitive environment.Mintzberg,
inspection reveals the spiraling order et al devotes a section to "Planning's
hidden in the model. The Gates' Unplanned Troubles." They explain that
information society and the Taylor and planning establishes inflexibility. They
Wacker age of possibilities do not depend support the assertion presented above
on a linear progression of thought and with the fallacy of predetermination.
action and Sanders holds the non-linear This fallacy says organizations are able
nature of the new science of strategic to predict the direction of their
thinking allows us to understand natural environment, are able to exercise control
order on its own terms.StrategyDoes over the environment, "or simply to
strategy have some mythical or mystical assume its stability." "Because analysis
property? Leaders and leadership use the is not synthesis, strategic planning has
word in many contexts, perhaps not really never been strategy making."Reverse
acknowledging what strategy is. course a little, planning is not a bad
Therefore, a simple working definition of thing when used in cohort with strategic
strategy for this paper is the deliberate thinking and visionary leadership. It is
means of attaining an outcome, being applying the controlling element strategy
visionary.Mintzberg, et al [5] explains to planning that causes problems. Morgan
that strategies inevitably have argues in favor of plans and planning
advantages and disadvantages. The when created in a visionary framework
advantage of setting direction is that can evolve as circumstances change.
charting a course; however, the What they insinuate in relating the tail
disadvantage is narrowing vision, hiding of the "Strategic Termites" is
dangers. The advantage of focusing effort unpredictability of organizational
is coordination of activity; however, the structure. An organization's leader does
disadvantage is groupthink. Having a not need a strategic plan to impose
definition of the organization provides order. Order, like in a termite colony,
understanding of the organization; emerges in an evolutionary way. Planning
however, the definition may hide the is not guided by plans rather by a sense
complexity of the supporting systems. of know what the organization wants to
Having a strategy that provides ultimately achieve. Ideas, action, and
consistency establishes order in a way events occur separately but
that reduces ambiguity; however, creative self-organizing yet apparently
groups appear to operate with little or disorganized groups of termites seize the
no consistency.Strategy involves opportunity to initiate change.The Future
paradoxes as the above paragraph Depends On ItSeeing the future depends on
suggests. One paradox tells us the story foresight. Having a future view and
of answers and questions, once you think strategically thinking of the future
you have all the answers, someone changes creates a new paradigm, part of the
all the questions. Taylor and Wacker paradoxes already discussed. One old
state this paradox as, "The more you are paradigm suggests future thought as a
right, the more wrong you will be." This prediction and development of plans based
contradiction confuses the reader, if you on the prediction. Making plans
are right, how can you be wrong? How? The establishes policy necessary to reach the
speed of knowledge accelerated beyond our predicted future. When the predictions
ability to absorb it in our traditional fail to materialize an organization
learning pattern.Another paradox for scrambles to recover. Another paradigm is
visionary leaders involves predicting the the invention of the future. This means
future. Leaders who are successful people both construe and become
predictors of the future act as agents constrained by the structures they enact
destabilizing the present. Taylor and and change through practice. Gaspar [7]
Wacker explain that today's realities and refers to the work of Mintzberg, et al,
tomorrows expectations collide. The saying the old paradigms do not work in
allocation of resources between present future thinking organizations. She tells
and future "produce a massive us we must integrate a strategy that
future-based political problem with huge includes patterns and perspectives with
consequences for the present."Strategy at planning and positioning.Take a view of
WorkThe State of Nebraska recently made American companies 100 years ago. Of the
National news with the passage of LB1024 top 12 companies 100 years ago, ten dealt
that, in effect, created segregated in selling commodities. Today, of the top
school sub-districts in Omaha. The bill 12 U.S. companies, three deal in
was the Unicameral's way to defeat commodities. The remaining nine companies
intercity lawsuits claiming "One City - deal in services, manufacturing, and high
One School District." The City of Omaha technology [14]. The only thing certain
annexed several small suburban is change and business leaders must learn
communities to its west, provides police, to cope with it in order to manage it.
fire, and city services to these Coping with change and managing it mean
communities; however, the communities businesses can profit from it. The future
remained independent school districts.The of business is knowledge driven.
City of Bellevue annexed several Sanitary Countries must be smart, companies must
Improvement Districts (SID) to its west, be smart, and people must be
provides police, fire and city services smart.Countries, companies, and people
to these incorporated SIDs. Previous must be equally smart at the same time.
mayors and city councils of Bellevue and To win the future game, each of the three
Papillion drew arbitrary boarders marking must anticipate and adapt to change in
the fringes of the two cities school order to manage it effectively. Mayor
districts in, what were then, Ryan admitted that government is slow to
unincorporated zones. Population growth change. By example, he cited the city
attached itself close to Bellevue. Now, council established a steering committee
Bellevue's city limits extend beyond the to investigate whether the city needed to
school district boarders. Therefore, spend money for computers in the mayor's
Bellevue claims "One City - One School office. The city has a web presence but
District."By passing this bill, Senator the city council did not adopt an intra-
Chambers [6] acknowledged formal and inter-city email system until the
segregation of the districts. LB1024 steering committee received confirmation
created two super-districts, one in from surrounding cities of their system
Omaha, and one in Bellevue. In Omaha, the usage. The mayor is 72; by contrast, the
super-district has three independent average age of the city council is about
sub-districts. The independent 63. Mayor Ryan recognizes the value of
sub-districts have authority over teacher technology and aggressively seeks younger
hiring, measures of teacher/student citizens to enter city government. He
success under federal No Child Left hopes forward thinking younger people
Behind, and administration of their own will drive the risk adverse council
budget. The super-district has academic toward active and aggressive risk
authority over the smaller management.Senator Chambers is the
sub-districts.The strongest supporter of longest serving Senator in the Nebraska
the LB1024 is the State's strongest Unicameral. He is 69 years old and
proponent of desegregation. Why did suffered racial slurs and isolation from
Senator Ernie Chambers of the State's fellow senators when he took office.
11th district support the bill? He Slurs and threats, chalked on his capitol
claimed the Omaha school district is office door, remain and he considers
already segregated. Segregation these a badge. He does not appear on the
re-occurred with the end of bussing in senate floor in suit and tie. He wears
1999. Yet, no Omaha high school is more blue jeans and sweat shirts in protest to
than 48 percent African American.Bellevue conformity. However, Senator Chambers
Mayor Jerry Ryan acknowledged the drain seems to exist in an era when racism and
on city funds fighting to redraw school segregation were the norm. He rarely
district lines. The fight in Bellevue and seeks coalition with other senators
Papillion is over federal dollars to preferring to be a voice of defiance
schools with a population of children of [15].These two leaders view the future
military families. Offutt Air Force Base differently. While one hopes to achieve
is located near Bellevue and military the future by recruiting younger forward
dependent children attend elementary and thinking people into the political
secondary schools in both cities. system, the other remains rooted in the
Redrawing district lines would result in past. Neither manages the future
more federal money to the Bellevue Public proactively but approach the future based
School District.Strategic Thinking and on present and past experiences not
VisionReading the paragraphs above may through information seeking, strategic
leave the reader asking, "What were they thinking, and visionary mental
thinking?" Recall the paradox of modeling.ConclusionThis paper discussed
predicting the future affects the present strategy, strategic thinking and vision
in adverse ways, yet successful leaders making, planning, and the future. These
operate as though the future is are not separate activities although the
now.Another view is that nothing turns discussion presents them individually. By
out exactly as expected. This may leave recognizing the Lorenz Attractor as a
leaders in an action quandary: Strategic spiral of interacting parts of an
thinking in the midst of shifting organization, one can also find this
paradigms servers to help organizations model fits a non-linear process of
"identify, respond to, and influence thinking, vision, and planning. Seeing
changes in its environment."Strategic the future as an evolving present helps
thinking allows leaders to think in terms leaders comprehend that rigid policies
of opportunities to innovate and based on formalized strategic plans
influence their future and the future of inhibit response to change.Strategic
their organization. Strategic thinking thinking and vision creation suggests
aids in abandonment of policies and that leaders continually test their
procedures that are outdated, obsolete, mental model with new thinking and
or ineffective.Strategic thinking is questioning - progressively looping
having an awareness of what has not yet thinking, vision, and new information
taken shape, having foresight. Foresight into new thinking. This cycle process
has a facet that is an individual ability allows leaders to anticipate disruptions
and behavior and it can be a process or in the business cycle. Leaders who
activity in business. On a macro level, question themselves asking, "what if ..."
foresight is a global practice. Note, know "what if ..." These leaders are
reaching a macro level must pass from future seeking and organizations
micro - individual, through mezzo - employing these leaders are future
organizational, to reach macro. Foresight seeking learning organizations prepared
starts with the individual leader seeing to change before change occurs.This paper
or sensing something better [7].Foresight does not deny the value of planning as
is more than vision; it is visionary. part of a strategic process. However,
Being a visionary leader means being rigid planning that does not calculate
provocative and questioning rather than the shifting horizon of organizational
seeing answers. Mintzberg, et al (1998) development leaves the company
calls upon visionary leaders to operate questioning, "What happened," rather than
on emotional and spiritual resources, "what's happening."Foresight allows for
values, aspirations, and commitment. strategic management, forecasting and
Leaders need a mental image, build a positioning of an organization. The
mental model of a desirable future state. outcome from foresight in business is the
The visionary state is as simple as a anticipated future becoming an inevitable
dream or complex as a written document future.References:1. Gates, B. (1996).
outlining the dream in measurable The Road Ahead. New York: Penguin
steps.Visionary leaders must next Books.2. Taylor, J., Wacker, W. with
translate the dream of the desirable Means, H. (2000). The Visionary's
future state into a vision they can share Handbook: Nine Paradoxes that will Shape
with the organization. Sharing a vision the Future of Your Business. New Youk:
must be proactive, must be like a theater Harper-Collins Publishers, Inc.3. Holy
performance. Mintzberg, et al addresses Bible. New International Version. Bible
performance by the leader as a rehearsal. Online. Retrieved from Sanders, T. I.
Rehearsal is the practice of the vision, (1998). Strategic Thinking and the New
learning everything they can about the Science: Planning in the midst of chaos,
vision. Upon becoming comfortable in complexity, and change. New York: The
rehearsal, the leader must openly perform Free Press.5. Mintzberg, M. Ahlstrand, B.
the vision. Performance brings a dream to & Lampel, J. (1998). Strategy Safari: A
life; however, performance has no value guided tour through the wilds of
without the attending audience. The strategic Management. New York: The Free
organizational audience views the Press.6. Gaspar, J. (2005, August 21-24).
performance while feeling empowered to Corporate foresight - an attempt to
mimic the performance. Organizational listen to the voices futures' generations
mimicking of the performance serves as a in the strategy making process. Future
starting point for transformation to a Studies Department, Corvinus University
higher state of consciousness, becoming, of Budapest. Retrieved June 15, 2006 from
as Senge [8] describes, a learning J. Ryan (personal communication, April
organization.Bellevue, Nebraska is the 28, 2006) in discussion of mayoral
third largest city in the state. Eight leadership strategy in a metropolitan
years ago, Jerry Ryan made his first run community.8. Senge, P. M. (1990). The
for Bellevue Mayor winning an election Fifth Discipline: The art & practice of
against a popular mayor. Bellevue's the learning organization. New York:
population in 1998 was about 29,000. Currency and Doubleday.9. Morgan, G.
Improvements in transportation, cost of (1993). Imaginization: The Art of
housing and housing developments, and Creative Management. Newbury Park: Sage
growth in retail and commercial ventures Publishing, Inc.10. Hill, C. W. L. &
has caused an explosion in population to Jones, G. R. (1998). Strategic
almost 50,000 with an extended sphere of Management: An integrated approach.
services into not yet annexed Boston: Houghton Mifflin
developments of an additional population Company.11. Davis, S. (1996). Future
of about 15,000.In the May 2006 primary, Perfect. Reading, MA:
Mayor Ryan [9] ran against a field of Addison-Wesley.12. Ong Teck Mong, T.
opponents. Mayor Ryan ran on the ideal (2006, May 7). Anticipating and Managing
that Bellevue has reached a size that Change: The Key to Future Success. Asian
requires a full time mayor devoted to the Institute of Management 37th Commencement
city. Opponents, all in their seventies, Ceremonies. Retrieved June 16, 2006 from
do not share his view. Mayor Ryan won the Ernie Chambers. (2006). Wikipedia.
majority of primary votes telling the Retrieved May 31, 2006 from Blackman, D.
city his vision. In interview with Mayor A. and Henderson, S. (2004). How
Ryan, he expressed how hard it is to run foresight creates unforeseen futures: the
a city of 50,000 part-time. "Citizens role of doubting. Futures, 36.
think I run the city. They are not aware 253-266.15. Johnson, T. A. (2000). An
that it is the City Council that approves Intellectual and Political Biography of
all action. And, the City Council doesn't Nebraska State Senator Ernest Chambers:
want a full time mayor," said Ryan in Activist, Statesman, and Humanist, 1937-.
interview. "If there is one thing I've Plains Humanities Alliance: Events.
failed to do," said Ryan, "is adequately Retrieved May 31, 2006 from Nadler, D.
share my thinking and vision within the A. and Tushman, M. L. (1997). Competing
council."In the "One City - One School by Design: The Power of Organizational
District" battle in Omaha, the school Architecture. New York: Oxford University
district argued that incorporation of Press.17. Somasegar (No First Name)
suburban districts into Omaha would (2006, January 21). Strategic Thinking.
create a broader tax base, allow for Retrieved June 2, 2006 from Hoffman is a
creation of magnet schools throughout the student at Regent University studying
district, and more equitably share toward a Doctor of Strategic Leadership,
resources. Senator Chambers, in support holds a MA, Leadership and BS,
of LB1024, argued that schools already Organizational Communication. He is an
segregated would have more administrative adjunct at Bellevue University and
control over their districts to create Metropolitan Community College.




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