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Buy, Sell, or Hold?

The markets continue to be tumultuous and selling them now. It's quite easy to
we're seeing the markets re-test the lows build the case for buying them.
that were reached in August. Since Another group of securities that haven't
October 29th, the S&P 500 is down 8.5%, been fairing well lately is the
the Russell 2000 is down 10.7% and the closed-end bond funds. Typically, bond
emerging markets are down over 15%. Even funds do well when the stock market is
energy stocks are getting hit hard. falling and interest rates are going
Should you be selling stocks, gritting down. Credit-related panic selling,
your teeth and hanging on or be stepping though, has driven the price some quality
up to the plate and buying? shares down 8-10%. Will the credit crunch
To answer that question, you can't just adversely affect these holdings?
look at the headlines or your account I don't think it will. There are
value and decide whether or not action closed-end funds with attractive
should be taken. The market headlines are portfolios of bonds that can be purchased
based on averages. Movements of the for less than the underlying costs of the
bigger companies in the averages can bonds themselves. For instance, a
easily skew the performance. The sovereign government fund isn't going to
financials have been getting hammered be adversely affected by the sub-prime
lately and financials make up a large mortgage situation, yet these shares have
part of the S&P 500. been sold-off just like everything else.
Of course, that doesn't mean that other But they continue to pay their dividends
stocks are immune. Investors (and and have yields over 6%.
traders) can panic when they see the With the 10-year U.S. Treasury now
decline of the averages and they sell yielding less than 4%, these are very
everything. And sell they have. attractive yields. As market fears
The decision to buy, sell or hold subside, investors looking for a higher
shouldn't be based on the overall market. level of income will once again recognize
It shouldn't be based on fear or greed. I these securities and move money back into
believe we need to look at individual them. That should bring a recovery in
holdings to determine which action we their share prices. In the meantime, we
should take. continue to earn over double the 10-year
I don't know of anyone who has stopped Treasury note.
using their telephone or internet based In short, if we just look at the headline
on the recent decline in the market. numbers of the major stock market
You'll continue to use it and you'll averages, it's easy to come to the
continue to pay your phone bill month conclusion that we should get fearful,
after month. That's money the telephone sell off stocks and move a large part of
companies can use to grow their the portfolio to cash. When you dig below
businesses and to pay dividends. Rural the headlines and do some research you
telephone companies also receive see that there are high-quality,
subsidies from the U.S. Government. This defensive companies that make sense to
represents a very stable cash flow. continue to hold and to buy more.
To say that differently, a rural I've just highlighted a few examples. The
telephone company's ability to pay their market downturn, in my opinion, has also
dividend usually isn't affected by the created some attractive opportunities in
economic cycle. That's one reason I growth-oriented companies. In particular,
regularly use them in my clients' I like companies that are part of
portfolios. longer-term global trends. For instance,
That hasn't prevented a sell-off of these global growth and the need for
rural telephone carriers of late. Those alternative energy have spurred
buying these stable companies now are tremendous demand in several industries.
handsomely rewarded by higher dividend Those stocks are now very attractive.
yield (many now in the 6-10% range). The key is to not run with the herd. When
The underlying businesses of these everyone is rushing for the exits, those
companies haven't changed. Their ability brave enough to stay behind can pick up
to pay and increase their dividends some real bargains. I believe that now is
hasn't changed. So it's hard to justify one of those times.




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