Buy, Sell, or Hold?

The markets continue to be tumultuous and we'retheir dividends hasn't changed. So it's hard to
seeing the markets re-test the lows that werejustify selling them now. It's quite easy to build
reached in August. Since October 29th, the S&Pthe case for buying them.
500 is down 8.5%, the Russell 2000 is downAnother group of securities that haven't been
10.7% and the emerging markets are down overfairing well lately is the closed-end bond funds.
15%. Even energy stocks are getting hit hard.Typically, bond funds do well when the stock
Should you be selling stocks, gritting your teethmarket is falling and interest rates are going down.
and hanging on or be stepping up to the plate andCredit-related panic selling, though, has driven the
buying?price some quality shares down 8-10%. Will the
To answer that question, you can't just look atcredit crunch adversely affect these holdings?
the headlines or your account value and decideI don't think it will. There are closed-end funds
whether or not action should be taken. Thewith attractive portfolios of bonds that can be
market headlines are based on averages.purchased for less than the underlying costs of
Movements of the bigger companies in thethe bonds themselves. For instance, a sovereign
averages can easily skew the performance. Thegovernment fund isn't going to be adversely
financials have been getting hammered lately andaffected by the sub-prime mortgage situation,
financials make up a large part of the S&P 500.yet these shares have been sold-off just like
Of course, that doesn't mean that other stockseverything else. But they continue to pay their
are immune. Investors (and traders) can panicdividends and have yields over 6%.
when they see the decline of the averages andWith the 10-year U.S. Treasury now yielding less
they sell everything. And sell they have.than 4%, these are very attractive yields. As
The decision to buy, sell or hold shouldn't be basedmarket fears subside, investors looking for a
on the overall market. It shouldn't be based onhigher level of income will once again recognize
fear or greed. I believe we need to look atthese securities and move money back into them.
individual holdings to determine which action weThat should bring a recovery in their share prices.
should take.In the meantime, we continue to earn over
I don't know of anyone who has stopped usingdouble the 10-year Treasury note.
their telephone or internet based on the recentIn short, if we just look at the headline numbers
decline in the market. You'll continue to use it andof the major stock market averages, it's easy to
you'll continue to pay your phone bill month aftercome to the conclusion that we should get fearful,
month. That's money the telephone companiessell off stocks and move a large part of the
can use to grow their businesses and to payportfolio to cash. When you dig below the
dividends. Rural telephone companies also receiveheadlines and do some research you see that
subsidies from the U.S. Government. Thisthere are high-quality, defensive companies that
represents a very stable cash flow.make sense to continue to hold and to buy more.
To say that differently, a rural telephoneI've just highlighted a few examples. The market
company's ability to pay their dividend usually isn'tdownturn, in my opinion, has also created some
affected by the economic cycle. That's oneattractive opportunities in growth-oriented
reason I regularly use them in my clients'companies. In particular, I like companies that are
portfolios.part of longer-term global trends. For instance,
That hasn't prevented a sell-off of these ruralglobal growth and the need for alternative energy
telephone carriers of late. Those buying thesehave spurred tremendous demand in several
stable companies now are handsomely rewardedindustries. Those stocks are now very attractive.
by higher dividend yield (many now in the 6-10%The key is to not run with the herd. When
range).everyone is rushing for the exits, those brave
The underlying businesses of these companiesenough to stay behind can pick up some real
haven't changed. Their ability to pay and increasebargains. I believe that now is one of those times.