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Buy, Sell, or Hold?

The markets continue to be tumultuousAnother group of securities that haven't
and we're seeing the markets re-test thebeen fairing well lately is the
lows that were reached in August. Sinceclosed-end bond funds. Typically, bond
October 29th, the S&P 500 is down 8.5%,funds do well when the stock market is
the Russell 2000 is down 10.7% and thefalling and interest rates are going
emerging markets are down over 15%. Evendown. Credit-related panic selling,
energy stocks are getting hit hard.though, has driven the price some
Should you be selling stocks, grittingquality shares down 8-10%. Will the
your teeth and hanging on or be steppingcredit crunch adversely affect these
up to the plate and buying?holdings?
To answer that question, you can't justI don't think it will. There are
look at the headlines or your accountclosed-end funds with attractive
value and decide whether or not actionportfolios of bonds that can be
should be taken. The market headlinespurchased for less than the underlying
are based on averages. Movements of thecosts of the bonds themselves. For
bigger companies in the averages caninstance, a sovereign government fund
easily skew the performance. Theisn't going to be adversely affected by
financials have been getting hammeredthe sub-prime mortgage situation, yet
lately and financials make up a largethese shares have been sold-off just
part of the S&P 500.like everything else. But they continue
Of course, that doesn't mean that otherto pay their dividends and have yields
stocks are immune. Investors (andover 6%.
traders) can panic when they see theWith the 10-year U.S. Treasury now
decline of the averages and they sellyielding less than 4%, these are very
everything. And sell they have.attractive yields. As market fears
The decision to buy, sell or holdsubside, investors looking for a higher
shouldn't be based on the overalllevel of income will once again
market. It shouldn't be based on fear orrecognize these securities and move
greed. I believe we need to look atmoney back into them. That should bring
individual holdings to determine whicha recovery in their share prices. In the
action we should take.meantime, we continue to earn over
I don't know of anyone who has stoppeddouble the 10-year Treasury note.
using their telephone or internet basedIn short, if we just look at the
on the recent decline in the market.headline numbers of the major stock
You'll continue to use it and you'llmarket averages, it's easy to come to
continue to pay your phone bill monththe conclusion that we should get
after month. That's money the telephonefearful, sell off stocks and move a
companies can use to grow theirlarge part of the portfolio to cash.
businesses and to pay dividends. RuralWhen you dig below the headlines and do
telephone companies also receivesome research you see that there are
subsidies from the U.S. Government. Thishigh-quality, defensive companies that
represents a very stable cash flow.make sense to continue to hold and to
To say that differently, a ruralbuy more.
telephone company's ability to pay theirI've just highlighted a few examples.
dividend usually isn't affected by theThe market downturn, in my opinion, has
economic cycle. That's one reason Ialso created some attractive
regularly use them in my clients'opportunities in growth-oriented
portfolios.companies. In particular, I like
That hasn't prevented a sell-off ofcompanies that are part of longer-term
these rural telephone carriers of late.global trends. For instance, global
Those buying these stable companies nowgrowth and the need for alternative
are handsomely rewarded by higherenergy have spurred tremendous demand in
dividend yield (many now in the 6-10%several industries. Those stocks are now
range).very attractive.
The underlying businesses of theseThe key is to not run with the herd.
companies haven't changed. Their abilityWhen everyone is rushing for the exits,
to pay and increase their dividendsthose brave enough to stay behind can
hasn't changed. So it's hard to justifypick up some real bargains. I believe
selling them now. It's quite easy tothat now is one of those times.
build the case for buying them.



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